Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.157086 0.187221 0.221100 0.261940 0.309766 0.363924 0.429832
2025-04-27 0.122016 0.163436 0.215173 0.284232 0.373648 0.485129 0.634233
2025-05-04 0.098925 0.144642 0.206408 0.295279 0.419071 0.584464 0.821058
2025-05-11 0.079404 0.125056 0.190946 0.291887 0.441257 0.652469 0.971596
2025-05-18 0.063415 0.106771 0.173156 0.280669 0.448459 0.697762 1.092752
2025-05-25 0.050835 0.091040 0.156037 0.266791 0.448184 0.729994 1.195879
2025-06-01 0.044570 0.084315 0.151725 0.271829 0.476992 0.808299 1.376470
2025-06-08 0.037153 0.074175 0.139990 0.262458 0.480358 0.845586 1.494338
2025-06-15 0.033350 0.069884 0.137616 0.268615 0.510247 0.928741 1.695361
2025-06-22 0.029603 0.065011 0.133374 0.270592 0.532566 1.000663 1.883554
2025-06-29 0.025788 0.059314 0.126676 0.266881 0.543687 1.053455 2.042427
2025-07-06 0.022586 0.054327 0.120597 0.263416 0.554551 1.106323 2.205743
2025-07-13 0.020717 0.052100 0.120167 0.271986 0.591354 1.213880 2.486997
2025-07-20 0.020179 0.052855 0.126219 0.295028 0.660349 1.390652 2.919407
2025-07-27 0.018762 0.051254 0.126857 0.306463 0.706583 1.527281 3.286418
2025-08-03 0.016504 0.047137 0.121145 0.302951 0.720421 1.599915 3.531937
2025-08-10 0.014084 0.042107 0.112469 0.291334 0.714881 1.631656 3.696087
2025-08-17 0.011876 0.037184 0.103231 0.276962 0.701133 1.644213 3.820475
2025-08-24 0.010924 0.035580 0.102086 0.282181 0.733423 1.759646 4.177001
2025-08-31 0.009428 0.032075 0.095416 0.272475 0.728806 1.792403 4.354236
2025-09-07 0.008765 0.030956 0.094978 0.278851 0.764242 1.919339 4.754396
2025-09-14 0.008007 0.029382 0.093025 0.280899 0.789008 2.023760 5.112161
2025-09-21 0.007137 0.027251 0.089131 0.277056 0.798132 2.091904 5.391152